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Multilingual Demographic Dictionary, second unified edition, English volume
Difference between revisions of "Population forecast"
Multilingual Demographic Dictionary, second unified edition, English vol.
(Etienne van de Walle et al., second 1982 edition) |
(Eugen Grebenik et al., first edition 1958) |
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| − | <!--''' | + | <!--'''population forecast'''--> |
| − | {{TextTerms|S=720|P=72 | + | {{TextTerms|S=720|P=72|Ed=I|CompleteIndexTerm=(POPULATION forecast)| content= |
| − | + | {{NewLineT|S=720|N=1}} {{ | |
| − | {{ | + | TofT|Lang=en|Ed=I|N=1|Color=yes|Te=population projection}}{{ |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=I|N=1|Te=إسقاط الديموجرافي (إسقاط)}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=I|N=1|SubN=2|Te=إسقاط السكاني (سكان)}}{{ | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=de|Ed=I|N=1|Color=yes|Te=Bevölkerungsvorausberechnung}}{{ |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=de|Ed=I|N=1|SubN=2|Te=Weiterführung der Bevölkerung}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=de|Ed=I|N=1|SubN=3|Te=Bevölkerungsprojektion}}{{ | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=es|Ed=I|N=1|Te=proyección demográfica}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=fi|Ed=I|N=1|Color=yes|Te=väestönkehityksen ennakointilaskelma}}{{ | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=fi|Ed=I|N=1|SubN=2|Te=väestöprojektio}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=I|N=1|Te=projection démographique}}{{ | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=it|Ed=I|N=1|Color=yes|Te=proiezione demografica}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=pl|Ed=I|N=1|Te=perspektywy ludnościowe}}{{ | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang=es|Ed= | + | TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=I|N=1|Color=yes|Te=PROJEÇÃO de população}}{{ |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=I|N=1|Te=Предположительное населения}} |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | {{NewLineT|S=720|N=2}} {{ |
| − | {{TofT|Lang=fr|Ed= | + | TofT|Lang=en|Ed=I|N=2|Color=yes|Te=population forecast}}{{ |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=I|N=2|Te=تنبؤ ديموجرافي (تنبؤ)}}{{ |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=I|N=2|SubN=2|Te=تنبؤ السكاني (سكان)}}{{ |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=de|Ed=I|N=2|Color=yes|Te=Bevölkerungsvoraussage}}{{ |
| − | {{TofT|Lang=ru|Ed= | + | TofT|Lang=de|Ed=I|N=2|SubN=2|Te=Bevölkerungsprognose}}{{ |
| − | {{ | + | TofT|Lang=es|Ed=I|N=2|Te=perspectivas demográficas}}{{ |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=es|Ed=I|N=2|SubN=2|Te=previsiones demográficas}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=fi|Ed=I|N=2|Color=yes|Te=väestöennuste}}{{ | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed= | + | TofT|Lang=fi|Ed=I|N=2|SubN=2|Te=väestöprognoosi}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=I|N=2|Te=perspective démographique}}{{ | |
| − | {{ | + | TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=I|N=2|SubN=2|Te=prévision démographique}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=it|Ed=I|N=2|Color=yes|Te=prospettiva demografica}}{{ | |
| − | {{ | + | TofT|Lang=it|Ed=I|N=2|SubN=2|Te=previsione demografica}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=pl|Ed=I|N=2|Te=prognoza ludności}}{{ | |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=I|N=2|Color=yes|Te=PREVISÃO de população}}{{ | |
| − | {{ | + | TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=I|N=2|SubN=2|Te=PREVISÃO demográfica}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=I|N=2|Te=Перспективное исчисление населения}}{{ | |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=I|N=2|SubN=2|Te=Демографический прогноз}} | |
| − | + | {{NewLineT|S=720|N=3}} {{ | |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=en|Ed=I|N=3|Color=yes|Te=short-term forecast}}{{ | |
| − | {{ | + | TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=I|N=3|Te=تنبؤ قريب (تنبؤ)}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=de|Ed=I|N=3|Color=yes|Te=kurzfristige Bevölkerungsvoraussage}}{{ | |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=es|Ed=I|N=3|Te=previsiones a corto plazo}}{{ | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=fi|Ed=I|N=3|Color=yes|Te=lyhyen ajan ennuste}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=I|N=3|Te=prévision à court terme}}{{ | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=it|Ed=I|N=3|Color=yes|Te=prospettiva a breve termine}}{{ |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=pl|Ed=I|N=3|Te=prognozy krótkookresowe}}{{ | |
| − | + | TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=I|N=3|Color=yes|Te=PREVISÃO a curto prazo}}{{ | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=I|N=3|Te=Прогноз на ближайшее будущее}}| |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | Lang=en|Lang2=ar|Lang3=de|Lang4=es|Lang5=fi|Lang6=fr|Lang7=it|Lang8=pl|Lang9=pt|Lang10=ru}} |
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| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | {{Gallery |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | | caption={{Lang_audio_pronunciation_-en}} |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | | width=100 |
| − | {{ | + | | height=20 |
| − | + | | lines=3 | |
| − | {{TofT|Lang= | + | |720_1_1_en_I Population projection.ogg|'''population projection''' |
| − | {{ | + | |720_2_1_en_I Population forecast.ogg|'''population forecast''' |
| − | + | |720_3_1_en_I Short-term forecast.ogg|'''short-term forecast''' | |
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<noinclude> | <noinclude> | ||
| − | [[en- | + | [[en-I:population forecast]] [[ar-I:تنبؤ ديموجرافي (تنبؤ)]] [[de-I:Bevölkerungsvoraussage]] [[es-I:perspectivas demográficas]] [[fi-I:väestöennuste]] [[fr-I:perspective démographique]] [[it-I:prospettiva demografica]] [[pl-I:prognoza ludności]] [[pt-I:PREVISÃO de população]] [[ru-I:Перспективное исчисление населения]] |
</noinclude> | </noinclude> | ||
<noinclude> | <noinclude> | ||
| − | [[Category:Term of the | + | [[Category:Term of the first edition of the multilingual demographic Dictionary]] |
| + | [[Category:Population growth and replacement]] | ||
| + | [[Category:72]] | ||
</noinclude> | </noinclude> | ||
Revision as of 21:35, 7 November 2009
| Translation | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Section | English 720 |
Arabic 720 |
German 720 |
Spanish 720 |
Finnish 720 |
French 720 |
Italian 720 |
Polish 720 |
Portuguese 720 |
Russian 720 |
| 720-1 | population projection | إسقاط الديموجرافي (إسقاط)—إسقاط السكاني (سكان) | Bevölkerungsvorausberechnung —Weiterführung der Bevölkerung —Bevölkerungsprojektion |
proyección demográfica | väestönkehityksen ennakointilaskelma —väestöprojektio |
projection démographique | proiezione demografica | perspektywy ludnościowe | PROJEÇÃO de população | Предположительное населения |
| 720-2 | population forecast | تنبؤ ديموجرافي (تنبؤ)—تنبؤ السكاني (سكان) | Bevölkerungsvoraussage —Bevölkerungsprognose |
perspectivas demográficas —previsiones demográficas |
väestöennuste —väestöprognoosi |
perspective démographique —prévision démographique |
prospettiva demografica —previsione demografica |
prognoza ludności | PREVISÃO de população —PREVISÃO demográfica |
Перспективное исчисление населения —Демографический прогноз |
| 720-3 | short-term forecast | تنبؤ قريب (تنبؤ) | kurzfristige Bevölkerungsvoraussage | previsiones a corto plazo | lyhyen ajan ennuste | prévision à court terme | prospettiva a breve termine | prognozy krótkookresowe | PREVISÃO a curto prazo | Прогноз на ближайшее будущее |
Population projections 1 are calculations which show the future development of a population when certain assumptions are made about the future course of population change, usually with respect to fertility, mortality and migration. They are in general purely formal calculations, developing the implications of the assumptions that are made. A population forecast 2 is a projection in which the assumptions are considered to yield a realistic picture of the probable future development of a population. Although the projection period 3 is variable, short-term forecasts 4 are the rule, as the margin of error to which forecasts are subject increases considerably as the length of the forecast’s period increases. The most frequently used method of projection is the component method 5 or cohort-component method 5 which takes the population distributed by age and sex at a base date 6 and carries it forward in time, cohort by cohort, on the basis of separate allowances for fertility, mortality and migration. When matrix algebra is used for component projections, the method is sometimes called matrix method of projection 7.
- 1. Projections are also made in terms of educational, economic and social characteristics. Backward projections which might be more accurately called retrojections, use similar methods to trace the past evolution of the population.
Audio pronunciation
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