The Demopædia Encyclopedia on Population is under heavy modernization and maintenance. Outputs could look bizarre, sorry for the temporary inconvenience

Multilingual Demographic Dictionary, second unified edition, English volume

Difference between revisions of "Probability of survival"

Multilingual Demographic Dictionary, second unified edition, English vol.
Jump to: navigation, search
(Etienne van de Walle et al., second 1982 edition)
 
(Etienne van de Walle et al., second 1982 edition)
 
(3 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown)
Line 1: Line 1:
<!--'''Probability of survival'''-->
+
<!--'''probability of survival'''-->
{{TextTerms|S=431|P=43|
+
{{TextTerms|S=431|P=43|Ed=II|CompleteIndexTerm=(PROBABILITY of survival)| content=
[[43#431|431]]-1 {{TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=1|Te=Probabilities of dying}}
+
{{NewLineT|S=431|N=1}} {{
{{TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=1|SubN=2|Te=Death probabilities}}
+
TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=1|Color=yes|Te=probability of dying}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=1|Te=إحتمالات الوفيات}}
+
TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=1|SubN=2|Te=probability of death}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=1|Te=Sterbewahrscheinlichkeiten}}
+
TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=1|Te=إحتمالات الوفيات}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=1|Te=Probabilidades de muerte}}
+
TofT|Lang=cs|Ed=II|N=1|Color=yes|Te=pravděpodobnost úmrtí}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=1|SubN=2|Te=Probabilidades de morir}}
+
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=1|Te=Sterbewahrscheinlichkeit}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=et|Ed=II|N=1|Te=Suremistõenäosusele}}
+
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=1|Color=yes|Te=probabilidades de muerte}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=et|Ed=II|N=1|SubN=2|Te=Tõenäosusele surra}}
+
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=1|SubN=2|Te=probabilidades de morir}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=1|Te=Quotients de mortalité}}
+
TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=1|Te=quotient de mortalité}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=1|Te=死亡確率}}
+
TofT|Lang=it|Ed=II|N=1|Color=yes|Te=quozienti di mortalità}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=1|Te=Вероятность смерти}}
+
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=1|Te=死亡確率}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=1|Te=Probabilities of dying}}
+
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=1|Color=yes|Te=probabilidades de morte}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=1|SubN=2|Te=Death probabilities}}
+
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=1|Te=Вероятность смерти}}{{
<br/>[[43#431|431]]-2 {{TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=2|Te=Annual death probabilities}}
+
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=1|Color=yes|Te=死亡概率}}
{{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=2|Te=إحتمال الوفيات السنوي}}
+
{{NewLineT|S=431|N=2}} {{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=2|Te=Einjährigen Sterbewahrscheinlichkeiten}}
+
TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=2|Color=yes|Te=annual death probability}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=2|SubN=2|Te=Sterbewahrscheinlichkeiten für einzelne Altersjahre}}
+
TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=2|Te=إحتمال الوفيات السنوي}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=2|Te=Probabilidad anual de morir}}
+
TofT|Lang=cs|Ed=II|N=2|Color=yes|Te=roční pravděpodobnost úmrtí}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=et|Ed=II|N=2|Te=Aasta suremistõenäosusega}}
+
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=2|Te=einjährige Sterbewahrscheinlichkeit}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=2|Te=Quotients annuels de mortalité}}
+
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=2|SubN=2|Te=Sterbewahrscheinlichkeit für einzelne Altersjahre}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=2|Te=年間死亡確率}}
+
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=2|Color=yes|Te=probabilidad anual de morir}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=2|Te=Вероятности смерти в течение года}}
+
TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=2|Te=quotient annuel de mortalité}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=2|Te=年死亡概率}}
+
TofT|Lang=it|Ed=II|N=2|Color=yes|Te=quozienti annuali di mortalità}}{{
<br/>[[43#431|431]]-3 {{TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=3|Te=Quinquennial death probabilities}}
+
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=2|Te=年間死亡確率}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=3|Te=إحتمال الوفيات الخماسي}}
+
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=2|Color=yes|Te=probabilidade de morte anual}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=3|Te=Fünfjährigen Sterbewahrscheinlichkeiten}}
+
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=2|Te=Годичная вероятность смерти}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=3|SubN=2|Te=Sterbewahrscheinlichkeiten für fünfjährige Altersgruppen}}
+
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=2|Color=yes|Te=单年组死亡概率}}
{{TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=3|Te=Probabilidad quinquenal de morir}}
+
{{NewLineT|S=431|N=3}} {{
{{TofT|Lang=et|Ed=II|N=3|Te=Viieaasta suremistõenäosusega}}
+
TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=3|Color=yes|Te=quinquennial death probability}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=3|Te=Quotients quinquennaux de mortalité}}
+
TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=3|Te=إحتمال الوفيات الخماسي}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=3|Te=5年間死亡確率}}
+
TofT|Lang=cs|Ed=II|N=3|Color=yes|Te=pětiletá pravděpodobnost úmrtí}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=3|Te= вероятности смерти в течение 5 лет}}
+
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=3|Te=fünfjährige Sterbewahrscheinlichkeit}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=3|Te=每五年死亡概率的}}
+
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=3|SubN=2|Te=Sterbewahrscheinlichkeit für fünfjährige Altersgruppen}}{{
<br/>[[43#431|431]]-4 {{TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=4|Te=Instantaneous death rate}}
+
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=3|Color=yes|Te=probabilidad quinquenal de morir}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=Force of mortality}}
+
TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=3|Te=quotient quinquennal de mortalité}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=4|Te=إحتمال الوفيات اللحظي}}
+
TofT|Lang=it|Ed=II|N=3|Color=yes|Te=quozienti quinquennali di mortalità}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=معدل الوفيات اللحظي}}
+
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=3|Te=5年間死亡確率}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=4|Te=Grenzwert des Sterberisikos}}
+
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=3|Color=yes|Te=probabilidade de mortes qüinqüenais}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=Intensität des Sterberisikos}}
+
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=3|Te=Вероятность смерти, пятилетняя}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=4|Te=Tasa instantánea de mortalidad}}
+
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=3|Color=yes|Te=五年组死亡概率}}
{{TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=Fuerza de la mortalidad}}
+
{{NewLineT|S=431|N=4}} {{
{{TofT|Lang=et|Ed=II|N=4|Te=Suremuse hetkekordajaks}}
+
TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=4|Color=yes|Te=instantaneous death rate}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=4|Te=Quotient instantané de mortalité}}
+
TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=force of mortality}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=Taux instantané de mortalité}}
+
TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=4|Te=إحتمال الوفيات اللحظي}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=4|Te=瞬間死亡率}}
+
TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=معدل الوفيات اللحظي}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=死力}}
+
TofT|Lang=cs|Ed=II|N=4|Color=yes|Te=okamžiková pravděpodobnost úmrtí}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=4|Te=Сила смертности}}
+
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=4|Te=Grenzwert des Sterberisikos}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=4|Te=瞬间死亡率}}
+
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=Intensität des Sterberisikos}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=死亡力}}
+
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=4|Color=yes|Te=tasa instantánea de mortalidad}}{{
<br/>[[43#431|431]]-5 {{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=5|Te=إحتمال الوفيات المتوقع}}
+
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=fuerza de la mortalidad}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=5|Te=Prospektiven Sterbewahrscheinlichkeiten}}
+
TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=4|Te=quotient instantané de mortalité}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=5|Te=Quotient perspectif de mortalité}}
+
TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=taux instantané de mortalité}}{{
<br/>[[43#431|431]]-6 {{TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=6|Te=Probability of survival}}
+
TofT|Lang=it|Ed=II|N=4|Color=yes|Te=quoziente istantaneo di mortalità}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=6|Te=إحتمال التعمير}}
+
TofT|Lang=it|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=tasso istantaneo di mortalità}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=6|Te=Überlebenswahrscheinlichkeit}}
+
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=4|Te=瞬間死亡率}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=6|Te=Probabilidad de sobrevivencia}}
+
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=死力}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=et|Ed=II|N=6|Te=Elulemistõenäosus}}
+
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=4|Color=yes|Te=taxa de mortalidade instantânea}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=et|Ed=II|N=6|SubN=2|Te=Üleelamistõenäosus}}
+
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=4|Te=Сила смертности}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=et|Ed=II|N=6|SubN=3|Te=Tõenäosus elama jääda}}
+
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=4|Color=yes|Te=瞬间死亡率}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=6|Te=Probabilité de survie}}
+
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=4|SubN=2|Te=死亡力}}
{{TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=6|Te=生存確率}}
+
{{NewLineT|S=431|N=5}} {{
{{TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=6|Te=Вероятность дожития}}
+
TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=5|Color=yes|Te=}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=6|Te=尚存概率}}
+
TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=5|Te=إحتمال الوفيات المتوقع}}{{
<br/>[[43#431|431]]-7 {{TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=7|Te=Survival ratios}}
+
TofT|Lang=cs|Ed=II|N=5|Color=yes|Te=}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=7|Te=إحتمال التعمير المتوقع}}
+
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=5|Te=prospektive Sterbewahrscheinlichkeit}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=7|SubN=2|Te=إحتمال البقاء على قيد الحياة}}
+
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=5|Color=yes|Te=}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=7|Te=Prospektive Überlebenswahrscheinlichkeit}}
+
TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=5|Te=quotient perspectif de mortalité}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=7|Te=Relaciones de sobrevivencia}}
+
TofT|Lang=it|Ed=II|N=5|Color=yes|Te=quoziente prospettico di mortalità}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=7|SubN=2|Te=Relaciones de supervivencia}}
+
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=5|Te=}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=et|Ed=II|N=7|Te=Elulemusmäära}}
+
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=5|Color=yes|Te=}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=7|Te=Probabilité perspective de survie}}
+
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=5|Te=}}{{
{{TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=7|Te=生存率}}
+
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=5|Color=yes|Te=}}
{{TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=7|Te=Коэффициенты передвижки}}
+
{{NewLineT|S=431|N=6}} {{
{{TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=7|Te=尚存比}}
+
TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=6|Color=yes|Te=probability of survival}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=6|Te=إحتمال التعمير}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=cs|Ed=II|N=6|Color=yes|Te=pravděpodobnost dožití}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=6|Te=Überlebenswahrscheinlichkeit}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=6|Color=yes|Te=probabilidad de sobrevivencia}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=6|Te=probabilité de survie}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=it|Ed=II|N=6|Color=yes|Te=probabilità di sopravvivenza}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=6|Te=生存確率}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=6|Color=yes|Te=probabilidade de sobrevivência}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=6|Te=Вероятность дожития}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=6|Color=yes|Te=存活概率}}
 +
{{NewLineT|S=431|N=7}} {{
 +
TofT|Lang=en|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=survival ratio}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=7|Te=إحتمال التعميرالمتوقع}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=ar|Ed=II|N=7|SubN=2|Te=إحتمال البقاء على قيد الحياة}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=cs|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=pravděpodobnost přežití}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=de|Ed=II|N=7|Te=prospektive Überlebenswahrscheinlichkeit}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=relaciones de sobrevivencia}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=es|Ed=II|N=7|SubN=2|Te=relaciones de supervivencia}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=fr|Ed=II|N=7|Te=probabilité perspective de survie}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=it|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=probabilità prospettica di sopravvivenza}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=7|Te=生存率}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=relações de sobrevivência}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=7|Te=Коэффициенты передвижки}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=7|SubN=2|Te=Передвижки коэффициенты}}{{
 +
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=存活比}}|
 +
Lang=en|Lang2=ar|Lang3=cs|Lang4=de|Lang5=es|Lang6=fr|Lang7=it|Lang8=ja|Lang9=pt|Lang10=ru|Lang11=zh}}
 +
 
 +
{{Gallery
 +
| caption={{Lang_audio_pronunciation_-en}}
 +
| width=100
 +
| height=20
 +
| lines=3
 +
|431_1_1_en_II Probability of dying.ogg|'''probability of dying'''
 +
|431_1_2_en_II Probability of death.ogg|'''probability of death'''
 +
|431_2_1_en_II Annual death probability.ogg|'''annual death probability'''
 +
|431_3_1_en_II Quinquennial death probability.ogg|'''quinquennial death probability'''
 +
|431_4_1_en_II Instantaneous death rate.ogg|'''instantaneous death rate'''
 +
|431_4_2_en_II Force of mortality.ogg|'''force of mortality'''
 +
|431_6_1_en_II Probability of survival.ogg|'''probability of survival'''
 +
|431_7_1_en_II Survival ratio.ogg|'''survival ratio'''
 
}}
 
}}
  
 
<noinclude>
 
<noinclude>
[[en-II:Probability of survival]] [[ar-II:إحتمال التعمير]] [[de-II:Überlebenswahrscheinlichkeit]] [[es-II:Probabilidad de sobrevivencia]] [[et-II:Elulemistõenäosus]] [[fr-II:Probabilité de survie]] [[ja-II:生存確率]] [[ru-II:Вероятность дожития]] [[zh-II:尚存概率]]  
+
[[en-II:probability of survival]] [[ar-II:إحتمال التعمير]] [[cs-II:pravděpodobnost dožití]] [[de-II:Überlebenswahrscheinlichkeit]] [[es-II:probabilidad de sobrevivencia]] [[fr-II:probabilité de survie]] [[it-II:probabilità di sopravvivenza]] [[ja-II:生存確率]] [[pt-II:probabilidade de sobrevivência]] [[ru-II:Вероятность дожития]] [[zh-II:存活概率]]  
 
</noinclude>
 
</noinclude>
 +
{{DEFAULTSORT:Probability of survival}}
 
<noinclude>
 
<noinclude>
 
[[Category:Term of the second edition of the multilingual demographic Dictionary]]
 
[[Category:Term of the second edition of the multilingual demographic Dictionary]]
 +
[[Category:Mortality and morbidity]]
 +
[[Category:43]]
 
</noinclude>
 
</noinclude>

Latest revision as of 07:30, 5 February 2010

Probability of survival  (PROBABILITY of survival)


Probabilities of dying 1 or death probabilities 1 are used to study in detail the mortality of a period or of a cohort. They are the probabilities that an individual of exact age x will die before exact age x + n, and are represented by the symbol nqx. If n = 1, we talk about annual death probabilities 2; if n = 5, about quinquennial death probabilities 3. The instantaneous death rate 4, or as it is occasionally called the force of mortality 4, is the limit of the nqx value as n tends to zero. The projective mortality probability 5★ is the probability that individuals of the same cohort or group of cohorts died between two January 1st. The name of this probability comes from its use in the calculation of population projections. It is also equal to 1-Lx+n/Lx, where Lx is the person-years lived by the stationary population from exact age x to exact age x+n. The complement to one of the probability of dying from exact age x to exact age x + n is the probability of survival 6 over this interval. In the preparation of population projections, we use survival ratios 7; they represent the probability that individuals of the same birth cohort or group of cohorts will still be alive n years later.

  • 1. The probability of death between age x and x + n is defined as the ratio of deaths between ages x and x+n to the number of survivors at exact age x. It is not to be confused with the central death rate, the ratio of deaths between ages x and x+n to the mean population alive at that age. The central death rate is written nmx .
  • 6. The probability of survival from age x to age x+n is written npx .
  • 7. A survival ratio is the complement to one of the projective mortality probability. Individuals in the cohorts do not have the same age and therefore are not at the same risk of dying.

More...