The Demopædia Encyclopedia on Population is under heavy modernization and maintenance. Outputs could look bizarre, sorry for the temporary inconvenience

Multilingual Demographic Dictionary, second unified edition, English volume

Difference between revisions of "Macrosimulation"

Multilingual Demographic Dictionary, second unified edition, English vol.
Jump to: navigation, search
(Etienne van de Walle et al., second 1982 edition)
 
(Etienne van de Walle et al., second 1982 edition)
 
(One intermediate revision by the same user not shown)
Line 90: Line 90:
 
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=7|Te=マクロシミュレーション}}{{
 
TofT|Lang=ja|Ed=II|N=7|Te=マクロシミュレーション}}{{
 
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=macrosimulaçao}}{{
 
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=macrosimulaçao}}{{
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=7|Te=}}{{
+
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=7|Te=Макроимитации}}{{
 
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=宏观模拟}}
 
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=7|Color=yes|Te=宏观模拟}}
 
{{NewLineT|S=730|N=8}} {{
 
{{NewLineT|S=730|N=8}} {{
Line 103: Line 103:
 
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=8|Color=yes|Te=microsimulaçao}}{{
 
TofT|Lang=pt|Ed=II|N=8|Color=yes|Te=microsimulaçao}}{{
 
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=8|Te=Микроимитации}}{{
 
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=8|Te=Микроимитации}}{{
TofT|Lang=ru|Ed=II|N=8|SubN=2|Te=}}{{
 
 
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=8|Color=yes|Te=微观模拟}}|
 
TofT|Lang=zh|Ed=II|N=8|Color=yes|Te=微观模拟}}|
Lang=en|Lang2=ar|Lang3=cs|Lang4=de|Lang5=es|Lang8=ja|Lang9=pt|Lang11=zh}}
+
Lang=en|Lang2=ar|Lang3=cs|Lang4=de|Lang5=es|Lang6=fr|Lang7=it|Lang8=ja|Lang9=pt|Lang10=ru|Lang11=zh}}
  
 
{{Gallery
 
{{Gallery
Line 124: Line 123:
  
 
<noinclude>
 
<noinclude>
[[en-II:macrosimulation]] [[ar-II:محاكاة الكبرية]] [[cs-II:makrosimulace]] [[de-II:Makrosimulation]] [[es-II:macrosimulaciones]] [[ja-II:マクロシミュレーション]] [[pt-II:macrosimulaçao]] [[zh-II:宏观模拟]]  
+
[[en-II:macrosimulation]] [[ar-II:محاكاة الكبرية]] [[cs-II:makrosimulace]] [[de-II:Makrosimulation]] [[es-II:macrosimulaciones]] [[ja-II:マクロシミュレーション]] [[pt-II:macrosimulaçao]] [[ru-II:Макроимитации]] [[zh-II:宏观模拟]]  
 
</noinclude>
 
</noinclude>
 +
{{DEFAULTSORT:Macrosimulation}}
 
<noinclude>
 
<noinclude>
 
[[Category:Term of the second edition of the multilingual demographic Dictionary]]
 
[[Category:Term of the second edition of the multilingual demographic Dictionary]]

Latest revision as of 08:16, 5 February 2010

Macrosimulation  (MACROSIMULATION)


A demographic model 1 consists of a theoretical construct representing the evolution of a population (of individuals, couples, families, households, etc.) and its structure on the basis of its initial state and the effect of various demographic variables (such as fertility, fecundability, mortality, etc.). In a static model 2, these variables remain constant; in a dynamic model 3, they are allowed to change over time. A further distinction is made between deterministic models 4 which assign functional relations between definite values of the variables, as if the studied population were infinitely large, and stochastic models 5 or probabilistic models 5 which consider the probability of various events occurring to individuals over the duration of the process under study. The model may be set out in mathematical formulas or take the form of a simulation 6 where specific values of the variables are included in a system of relations. Macrosimulations 7 may for example involve population projections made by the component method (720-5). In microsimulations 8, events are made to occur randomly to individuals or groups over time according to sets of probabilities assigned to the variables in the model.

  • 1. The word is also used as an adjective in such expressions as model tables.

More...